By: BrianHomberg bhomberg@railey.com 301-501-0131 October 4th, 2011 Category: Deep Creek Lake Buyer Info, Deep Creek Lake Market Update, Deep Creek Lake Real Estate, Garrett County Real Estate, Interest Rates and Loans

There has been some recent good news in the Deep Creek Lake and Garrett County real estate market. In August 2011 there were 44 new pending sales which represented a 15% increase compared to the previous 5 year average. In fact, pending sales in August were at their second highest level since the height of the market in 2006. Other highlights of the local real estate market include;

In August 2011, 14 residential Deep Creek Lake water oriented (lake front, lake view, or lake access) properties sold with an average sales price of $426,711 and spent 277 days on the market. There are currently 36 Deep Creek Lake water oriented pending sales (35 residential sales and 1 lot/land).

36 lakefront homes have sold thus far in 2011, already equaling the total number of lakefront homes sold in all of 2010. There are currently 11 lakefront homes under contract. Those 36 lakefronts homes sold had an average sales price of approximately $819,000 and spent 228 days on the market. The average list price to sales price ratio of those homes sold was 81%.

Away from the lake in other areas of Garrett County, 16 residential homes sold in August 2011 with an average sale price of $170,341 and spent 142 days on the market.  There are currently 47 non-lake area pending sales (40 residential sales and 7 lot/land).

Buyers take note that summer followed by fall is typically the strongest selling season in Garrett County.  Sellers are generally more motivated this time of year with the prospect of having to carry their property through winter.  There are some very good values out there right now with a good selection of inventory to choose from. Also helping are low interest rates which incredibly ended last week under 4%.

Garrett County is a very unique market.  It is a beautiful, centrally located four season resort area.  Six of the wealthiest counties in the country are located within less than a gas tank away.

Railey Realty continues to the leader in the Deep Creek Lake and Garrett County real estate market with 57% of total dollar market share in Garrett County and 64% of the Deep Creek Lake market.

As a full time salesperson at Railey Realty I can send you new listings as they hit the market that will show status changes from active listings to pending and closed sales in real time via email market updates.  This is a state-of-the industry computer technology that I offer free of charge to you to follow and immediately see buying opportunities as they hit our resort market. I will be happy to let you know about “must see” properties and “great values.”  Please contact me for all of your real estate needs as I promise to guide you through a smooth real estate transaction.

By: Mike Kennedy mkennedy@railey.com 301-616-6106 February 18th, 2011 Category: Deep Creek Lake Buyer Info, Deep Creek Lake Market Update, Deep Creek Lake Real Estate, Garrett County Real Estate, Interest Rates and Loans

For the first time in several years the total number of real estate sales in the Deep Creek Lake and Garrett County market increased from the previous year. The current year is also getting off to a better start than the last few as the total number of residential sales thus far in 2011 is slightly higher.

Overall, there were 381 total real estate sales in 2010 with $118,847,832 in total dollar volume sold (according to our MLS). Total sales include all residential, building lots/land, commercial and multi-family properties. Total real estate sales in Garrett County improved about 10% in 2010 and total dollar volume sold increased 14% from the previous year.

In the Deep Creek Lake market, there were 154 residential sales in 2010 compared to 143 the previous year. Total dollar volume sold increased 19% as well in the lake area. A significant part of this increase in the lake market was due to additional higher end lakefront residential sales in 2010. Lower interest rates and price reductions also boosted the entire market.

Real Estate Market Snapshot - Deep Creek Lake

Dec 31, 2009                   Dec 31, 2010

#               $ Vol                     #         $ Vol

Res              143         $72.9M                 154         $86.0M

Lots              46          $9.3M                    25          $8.3M

Comml          3           $1.1M                      2          $0.4M

As a buyer, there are many options and properties to choose from in this market. Inventory continues to be higher than normal in most of our market segments. Plus, interest rates on second homes and investment properties are still low but have risen slightly in the past few months. A strategy of waiting for price corrections can sometimes result in more overall costs if rates continue to rise. A good portion of our sales normally occur later in the year so purchasing now before demand increases usually results in more favorable conditions for a buyer.

Correctly pricing your property within the market continues to be critical if you are selling your lake house or lot. An over-priced listing will sit on the market and not get much activity, showings, or even get any web inquiries. As a seller it is imperative to base your price on recent comparable sales! Buyers are able to review recent sale prices and most will then determine how much they are willing to pay from that information. Property condition features, and amenities also play an important part of a successful real estate sale. If you are thinking about selling please contact us for a free competitive market analysis that will help determine the value of your property.

Whether you are buying are selling, working with an experienced Realtor is critical. We continue to be Garrett County and Deep Creek Lake’s leading real estate company in properties sold and have the biggest selection of homes for sale. Contact us if you would like to schedule a showing for any property listed for sale in the Garrett County or the Deep Creek Lake area. As a cooperating broker we can assist and show you properties listed for sale with other real estate companies as well.

By: Mike Kennedy mkennedy@railey.com 301-616-6106 January 14th, 2011 Category: Deep Creek Lake Buyer Info, Deep Creek Lake Market Update, Deep Creek Lake Real Estate, Garrett County Real Estate, News, Wisp Real Estate

The Wall Street Journal recently reported that vacation home markets are on the rise. While the article does not mention the Deep Creek Lake real estate market, it does mention other resort markets and reports some similar things that have recently happened in our market.

• Sales are up slightly
• A few record sales - Deep Creek experienced a record lakefront house sale at Holy Cross for $3.5 in 2010.
• Cash buyers who are getting good deals
• More accurate pricing by sellers

Now is still a great time to purchase a second or vacation home in the Deep Creek Lake area. Interest rates are still low, good deals can be had with plenty of properties to choose from, and unlike other resorts we do have year round activities with the lake and Wisp Ski area.  Contact us for a complete list of all available properties - or a list of the current “best buys” in our market.

By: Mike Kennedy mkennedy@railey.com 301-616-6106 October 21st, 2010 Category: Deep Creek Lake Buyer Info, Deep Creek Lake Market Update, Deep Creek Lake Real Estate, Garrett County Real Estate

Leading indicators and trends in the Deep Creek Lake and Garrett County real estate markets continue to strengthen. Thru the first nine months of 2010;

• Lakefront residential sales are up 31% - 47 total sales thus far in 2010 with an average sold price of $822,179 - versus 36 sales in 2009 with an average sold price of $711,315.
• Total number of sales in Garrett County is up 10%.
• Total dollar volume sold in Garrett County is up 22%.
• Total residential dollar volume sold in the Deep Creek Lake area is up 26%.
• The average residential sold price in Garrett County is up 9%.

(All data collected from Metropolitan Residential Information Systems (MRIS). All data is believed to be accurate but not guaranteed.)

A few key factors have contributed to the strengthening of our market. First, there have been a greater number of higher end lakefront residential sales in 2010 which has boosted the entire market. Second, historically low interest rates have created more buying opportunities. Lastly, some price reductions and corrections in certain segments of our market have enticed buyers to purchase their next home, vacation home, or rental property.

Higher inventory levels and inflated list prices continue to be a problem. Over priced listings are being ignored as buyers have a healthy selection of properly priced homes, condominiums, townhomes, and vacant land to choose from. If you are selling it is more critical now than ever before to competitively price your property in the market. If you are unsure of the value of your property please contact us for a free, no obligation, competitive market evaluation.

If you are actively buying, it’s still a great time to evaluate your purchasing options. The Deep Creek Lake area is a true four season resort that offers historical stability and more importantly activities and attractions the whole family can enjoy. Those factors plus low interest rates and a large selection of properties to choose from right now provides buyers an ideal environment to purchase a vacation or second home.

As Deep Creek’s leading brokerage we look forward to helping you with all your real estate needs.

By: Mike Kennedy mkennedy@railey.com 301-616-6106 June 16th, 2010 Category: Deep Creek Lake Buyer Info, Deep Creek Lake Market Update, Deep Creek Lake Real Estate, Garrett County Real Estate, News

It is no secret that the local real estate market experienced a challenging year in 2009, but as we move closer to the 2010 summer selling season there are signs of increasing momentum and improvement. If the current trends continue, we can hopefully look back and note that 2009 was the bottom. Some trends we are seeing include:

• Buyer interest and activity is well ahead of last year’s pace. Lakefront residential transactions are up 70% from the same period last year.
• There have been five (5) $1 million dollar plus sales this year compared to only three (3) last year at this time.
• A lakefront property in The Reserve at Holy Cross just sold for a record $3.5 million. Railey Realty was the listing broker for this sale. This is the first reported $3 million plus lakefront residential sale.
• The number of pending contracts is greater now than it was last year at this time.
• New residential construction and housing starts have stabilized. Through May, total building permits issued for new single family home starts in Garrett County is nearly at the same level experienced for all of 2009.
• Distress sales, short sales, foreclosures, and bank owned properties in Garrett County and the Deep Creek Lake area are still few and far between in this market.

The area continues to add amenities such as the under construction Community Athletic Recreation Center, just opened Lodestone and Thousand Acres golf courses, and a new Zip Line Canopy Tour Ride at Wisp Ski Resort. The Deep Creek area offers an abundance of activities and attractions families can enjoy year round.

If you are a prospective buyer, now may be the perfect time to purchase.  Interest rates remain low, and there is a great selection of properties to choose from.   Right now is a great time to take advantage of these benefits and capitalize on the historical strength found in this four season resort market.

If you are in the selling process it is very important to not over-price your property.  “Testing the market” in this environment is not the best path to take.  Today’s buyer is well informed and will not make offers on obviously overpriced properties.  As a result, the over-priced properties do not sell, and as other owners market their property, inventory increases.  This ultimately drives prices down.  Our advice is to offer your property for sale when the time is right for you and price your property competitively. One simple fact has remained true - properly priced homes in good condition are selling in this market.

If you are considering selling and would like to know the value of your property, Railey Realty will provide you with a free, no obligation, competitive market evaluation.  Please contact your agent or call us at 301-387-2000 for details.  As Deep Creek’s leading brokerage we look forward to helping you with all your real estate needs.

By: DebraSavage dsavage@railey.com 301-616-4085 September 3rd, 2009 Category: Deep Creek Lake Buyer Info, Deep Creek Lake Market Update, Deep Creek Lake Real Estate

Well to give an answer this question it takes further explanation of two trends we have seen - 1.  the number of units sold has dramatically fallen - but  2. Deep Creek lakefront properties have still continued to hold their value. Let’s walk-thru this in greater detail;

Deep Creek Lakefront Residential Homes Sold

Year # of Homes Sold # of Homes over $1,000,000

2000          97                                     4

2001          79                                     6

2002         115                                     5

2003          70                                      7

2004          82                                     13

2005          94                                     21

2006          79                                     26

2007          61                                     21

2008          54                                     20

2009 YTD    19                                      5

These numbers are based upon information obtained from MRIS, our local MLS System, showing homes listed as fee simple lakefront residential homes at Deep Creek Lake.

As you can see the number of transactions has fallen starting in 2006 - but please note that until this year (2009) the number of lakefront homes sold with a list price over $1 Million has been a strong and upcoming market.

Deep Creek Lakefront Values have Remained Steady

I took a completely random sampling of properties, both single family and condominium lakefront properties, which are currently listed for sale to establish value.  I reviewed the sales history of these properties from the time we started to track sold prices in our public records and here are the results:

Area of the Lake - Southern

Sold Price                   Transfer Date

$350,000                      April 04

$435,000                       Dec 04

$630,000                       June 05

Current List Price         $ 1,199,000

Thayerville Area of Lake (near Uno’s)

Sold Price                   Transfer Date

$217,000                         Dec 81

$421,250                         Sept 02

Current List Price         $699,000

McHenry Condominium

$125,100                         May 88

$145,500                         April 97

Current List Price      $409,999

Southern Lake  Condominium

$164,750                          Jan 90

Current List Price      $ 375,000

McHenry Condominium

$117,000                          May 92

$160,000                          May 04

$210,000                          Sept 05

Current List Price      $ 217,000

So what does all this say?

The number of homes sold has decreased this year, but we are holding value.  Now I know we are all talking about and hearing about all these price adjustments and decreases.  Yes, we are seeing sellers drop prices, BUT, we are holding value. Home owners are not making as much on the re-sale of their property but they still have not dipped below the value they paid originally.

Remember buyers turn into owners and potentially one day they turn into a seller. That is when everyone wants to know that they made a purchase that has held value.   Deep Creek Lake has historically proven over and over again that it’s a great value purchase.  Considering the conditions the real estate market has seen nationally isn’t it great to know that there is somewhere in this great country that when you buy property, even in huge downturn markets, that you can and will hold value!

So, whether you buy now or buy later (as many happy home owners at Deep Creek Lake have done over the years) our history is strong on value oriented lakefront property.

Now there is a reason to purchase lakefront at Deep Creek Lake.  I think we all wish our 401K and IRA stock accounts had held value like Deep Creek Lake!!! Give us a call or drop us an e-mail - we’ll show you how to buy a vacation property in a market that has proven itself over time!

By: Mike Kennedy mkennedy@railey.com 301-616-6106 May 1st, 2008 Category: Deep Creek Lake Market Update

The first quarter of 2008 is officially in the books for the Deep Creek Lake real estate market. Not to anyone’s surprise the first quarter of this year was a lot like the first quarter in 2007. All market signals are starting to point that 2008 will be a lot like 2007 - which was slight decrease or stable amount of transactions the rest of the year - but overall modest appreciation gains for most property owners. In 2007 things started off slow like this year but really picked up during our traditionally strong selling season of June, July, and August. A quick summary of the market is below;

Homes Sold

Thru the first quarter of 2008, 34 homes in the Deep Creek Lake area have sold with an average sold price of $637,929 - this compares to 37 homes sold in the first quarter of 2007 with an average sold price of $537,565 - a difference of only 3 homes.  These homes include all lakefront, lake access, and lake area homes.

Lots/Land

 Thu the first quarter of 2008, 18 lots have sold in the Deep Creek Lake area broken down as follows - 1 lakefront lot, 6 lake access lot, and 11 lake area lots. This compares to 21 lots sold in 2007 - 0 lakefront lots, 4 lake access lots, and 17 lake area lots.

Contracts

Currently, there are 17 residential properties under contract - 7 lakefront homes, 4 lake access homes, 2 homes a top Wisp Ski Resort, and  4 lake area homes. The highest demand thus far this year has been the higher-end lakefront homes with good settings - private Type A dock, deep water, good views, wooded, with a newer home.

 Future Factors

There are some factors on the horizon that could make the demand stronger for real estate at Deep Creek Lake and Garrett County for the rest of the year. These include;

• More vacation rentals already booked for the 2008 summer season. Some renters turn into buyers - or most renters will go back home and tell their friends, familiy, and neigbors what a great place Deep Creek Lake is. That usually spurs more people to explore real estate opportunities in this market.
• Interest rates continue to remain relatively low. Jumbo loan rates as of today are still in the mid-to low 6% range - still very low historically speaking.
•  Continued improvements to the area. A few new restaurants should be open before the start of the summer and the proposed Aqua Mountain indoor waterpark is still in the works even though plans have not yet been finalized and construction is not yet guaranteed.  

By: Mike Kennedy mkennedy@railey.com 301-616-6106 February 14th, 2008 Category: Deep Creek Lake Market Update, Deep Creek Lake Real Estate

Like most other resort markets around the country the Deep Creek Lake and Garrett County Maryland real estate market for the year ending in 2007 can be summed up in the following sentence…..Total Number of Sales Down, Average Sold Price Up.

So the question then becomes - Was Deep Creek Lake a good real estate market in 2007 or not? The answer really depends on who you ask - if you already own property here your value went up again in 2007 so their answer would be that it’s still a very good market…if you ask someone who tried to sell their property last year you would probably get a mixed reaction - most still ended up selling for what they wanted but it certainly took a little longer to get there….if you ask any local Realtor they would probably tell you the market stinks - of course they would be saying that because less sales equaled less money in their pockets last year - or in simple terms, bad for us - not so bad for our current clients, still good for past clients.

Below is a snapshot of what occurred in our market in 2007;

                                     No. of Homes Sold          Avg. Sold Price

                                   2006               2007         2006              2007

Deep Creek Lake        308                 215        $537,498      $559,168

All of Garrett County   510                 374        $396,499      $400,460

(Includes DCL)

It’s important to note that the Deep Creek Lake numbers above include everything residential in nature - homes, town homes, condos, and a few fractional ownership sales we had. It also includes a wide variety of different locations and settings within the lake market - lakefront properties, lake access properties, lake view properties, Wisp Ski Resort properties, and properties that have no access to the lake but are just in the general vicinity. Those different types of properties can vary greatly in value.

The big question we get asked now - Is it a good time to buy at Deep Creek Lake?

For those of you thinking about buying we truly believe now is probably as good of a time as there is to seriously consider buying in this area. The fundamentals are still very much in place for future appreciation - but we probably won’t see the extremely high appreciation rates we saw earlier this decade. That’s for sure.

Why is it still a good time to buy? The main factor is inventory - if our inventory of lakefront and lake access homes remains low into the future - which it should because the entire lake is almost fully developed now - prices should continue up. There is no reason to believe our inventory will ever get that high on and around the lake - there are only a few parcels left that could possibly be developed. If you talk to anyone who has been around this market their entire life they would probably concur that prices have always gone up at Deep Creek Lake - ever since it’s inception in 1925. It’s very hard to go back in history and find a time that real estate values ever went down at Deep Creek Lake.

When will the number of sales start to go back up again? It’s hard to say really - the experts predict we won’t see a positive trend in the number sales until 2009 at the earliest. From what we’ve seen so far, 2008 is starting off a lot like 2007 did. We have our normal amount of potential buyers who want to buy a vacation home for personal use and have the means to do it - it seems we lost that group of people who were buying for speculation, quick flipping, and who might have been stretching themselves financially to make it happen. Those people seemed to have disappeared over the last year or so. The national media has made a lot people think that buying real estate is a bad thing to do right now - this situation won’t change until the perception shifts back to real estate being the “cool” or “in” thing to do again. But the smart buyers are the ones buying now - before things heat back up.

Some other interesting real estate happenings that occurred in our market in 2007 -

• A new record sold price for a lakefront home was set in 2007 - a new construction spec house in The Reserve at Holy Cross sold for $2,830,000.
• Two homes sold for over $2 Million in 2007 - in 2006 only one home sold for over $2 Million in this market.
• In 2007 there were 22 homes that sold for $1 Million or more - in 2006 there were 30 homes that sold for over $1 Million.