By: Mike Kennedy mkennedy@railey.com 301-616-6106 July 2nd, 2009 Category: Deep Creek Lake Buyer Info, Deep Creek Lake Market Update, Deep Creek Lake Real Estate, Garrett County Real Estate, Uncategorized, Wisp Real Estate

If you are thinking about buying or selling a house at Deep Creek Lake or in Garrett County Maryland - one real estate statistic you may want to pay attention to now is known as the Absorption Rate - a market indicator that hasn’t been used much locally but should get some consideration to get a better feel for current conditions.

Absorption Rates at Deep Creek Lake and Wisp

What is the Absorption Rate? Basically, it’s the amount of time it will take the current inventory of homes on the market to sell based on the most recent pace of sales. For example, if 5 lakefront homes sold on average per month for the past year - and the current inventory of lake front homes for sale is 100 - then the current absorption rate would be 100/5 - or 20 months. In other words it would take about 20 months to deplete the current inventory based on the recent sales pace. Since we have many specialized segments of real estate in the Deep Creek market - here are the current absorption rates for the most popular segments;

Lakefront homes with private Type A boat docks - 89 currently on the market divided 2.5 average sold per month (30 sold in the past 12 months) = 35.6 months of inventory…or in other words there is around 3 years of inventory on the market at this current pace.

Lakefront homes with single slips -  38 currently on the market divided by .4 average sold per month (5 sold in the past 12 months) = 95 months of inventory.

Lake Access homes with single boat slips - 72 currently on the market divided by 1.33 average sold per month (16 sold in the past 12 months) = 54 months of inventory.

Lake Access homes without boat slips - 39 currently on the market divided by .58 average sold per month (7 sold in the past 12 months) = about 78 month of inventory.

Wisp Real Estate (residential atop Wisp Mountain) - 37 currently on the market divided by 1.25 average sold per month (15 sold in the past 12 months) = 30 months of inventory. Includes Villages of Wisp town homes.

Lake Area homes (meaning not “water oriented” - just homes in the general Deep Creek Lake area) - 71 homes currently on the market divided by 1.66 average sold per month (20 sold in the past 12 months) = 42 months of inventory.

Please keep in mind the absorption rate statistic is somewhat flawed by it’s own nature - it only takes into consideration recent past performance - it only looks backwards. It tends to underestimate the market going forward and the quickness of how fast things can turn around. Use this statistic carefully when evaluating your real estate opportunities.

However, this number does have some significant meaning for both potential buyers and sellers.

For buyers - a higher number means inventory is up and serious sellers will be competing for your business - thus your chances of getting a “better deal” increases.

For sellers - a higher number usually means more competition and you better make sure both the price and condition of your house compare favorably to your competition! - especially if you want to sell your house to sell in a normal marketing time frame.

Selling a house is both science and art. It’s part science because numbers and statistics are used to come up with a value based on recent selling prices of comparable homes, days on market, absorption rates, number of homes currently on the market, etc. It’s partly an art  because in a specialized resort market like Deep Creek each vacation property is unique in it’s own way - whether it’s the topography (steep vs. flat), orientation (northwest for late afternoon sun or east for morning sun), views (filtered lake views or wide open expansive lake views), boat dock (private Type A vs. single slip), condition of the house (newer vs older), etc…the list can go on and on. It’s extremely hard in this market to find two properties that are nearly identical so rarely can your compare apples to apples - except for town homes and condos.

Whether you are buying or selling Garrett County or Deep Creek Lake real estate - give us a call or drop us an e-mail - we are the experts on the local resort and vacation home market - we can guide you thru the entire process. Nobody has helped more buyers and sellers than us over the past 30 years!

By: Mike Kennedy mkennedy@railey.com 301-616-6106 June 19th, 2009 Category: Deep Creek Lake Buyer Info, Deep Creek Lake Market Update, Deep Creek Lake Real Estate, Garrett County Real Estate, Uncategorized, Wisp Real Estate

Just recently, our local MLS (multiple list service) that serves the Deep Creek Lake and Garrett County Maryland area added the ability to search for foreclosures, potential short sales, and bank owned (REO) properties. These types of properties are often referred to as “distressed properties”.  Most real estate buyers and investors looking for bargains often target these distressed properties first.

As I have wrote about in previous posts - our local real estate market here at Deep Creek Lake doesn’t have a significant amount of these distress sale opportunities - and this is still the case. This is unlike what is happening in other resort markets and is testament to the overall strength of our market!!

As of today here is a summary of the total number of distress sales in Garrett County;

Deep Creek Lake and Garrett County Short Sales

Potential Short Sales - 10 active residential properties. Only 1 of the 10 is currently under contract or sale pending - an Overlook Villas townhome atop Wisp Mountain listed at $649,000. Of these 10 - 5 are located in the general Deep Creek Lake/Wisp Ski Resort area;

• - Red Run lakefront townhome listed for sale at $299,950.
• - Lakeland Estates lake view townhome (across from The Creamery) listed for sale at $220,000.
• - Lake access home on Brenneman Lane in the Summit subdivision listed for $649,000.
• - Lake access home on Glen Cove Road in Swanton listed for $549,000. No boat slip with this one.
• - The Overlook Villas townhome currently under contract.

The other 5 properties are located in the outlying areas of Garrett County - most in the Oakland, Mt. Lake Park and southern Garrett County area.

A short sale is basically a situation where the current homeowner owes more to the bank or lending institution than what the property is currently worth.

Deep Creek Lake and Garrett County Foreclosures

Foreclosures - 12 active residential properties currently for sale in Garrett County. Nearly all have already gone thru the foreclosure process and were bought back by the bank at the public auction. The various banks are now offering these REO (real estate owned) classified assets for sale thru local real estate brokers. Of the 12 foreclosures, 6 are currently under contract. Only 2 of the 12 are located in the Deep Creek Lake area - a split lakefront home on State Park Road with a Type A dock listed for $428,601 and a house located on Route 219 near the Deep Creek Bridge.

As a member of MRIS (the name of our local mls), we at Railey Realty can provide you a complete list of these distressed properties along with additional details and photos - and we can even set you up to receive automatic e-mails when any new distressed properties hit the market. If you are looking for a bargain or a great deal - give us a call or shoot us an e-mail - we’ll be more than happy to help you search for these types of properties or any others that may interest you.

By: Mike Kennedy mkennedy@railey.com 301-616-6106 March 13th, 2009 Category: Open Houses, Uncategorized

Just one open house this upcoming weekend in the Deep Creek Lake and Garrett County areas. This house is a new construction, split lakefront home in McHenry, Maryland just off Deep Creek Drive in Walton’s Landing. This house is very close to all lake activities and only a minute or so away from the  Wisp Ski Resort. This house also has a deeded boat slip.

Click the link below for a map, directions, and more information about this house.

Deep Creek Lake Open House

The house is noted with a red push pin - click on the push pin for more information.

If for some reason you’d like to see this house but can’t make it this weekend, give us a call at (800) 544-2425 and we can set up a private showing.

By: Mike Kennedy mkennedy@railey.com 301-616-6106 February 10th, 2009 Category: Deep Creek Lake Buyer Info, Deep Creek Lake Real Estate, Interest Rates and Loans, Obtaining a Mortgage, Uncategorized

This afternoon I had a conversation with local mortgage lender Jerry Merrick of BB&T Bank.  He had mentioned that refinance interest rates in the Deep Creek Lake and Garrett County areas are actually higher than purchase rates and no one seems to be noticing this. Conforming mortgage rates on a home  purchase are still below 5%! I questioned why the discrepancy in rates and below is his response.

While interest rates remain historically low some lenders are raising their rates to control the flow of refinance applications. The typical 30 year fixed rate refinance loan is priced at 5.125% today on any loan amount under $417,000. The matter is simply supply and demand, meaning that lenders are offering very low rates but they are typically understaffed and lack the support necessary to get these deals to closing prior to the rate lock expiration dates.

Consumers should be leary of using lenders that they are unfamiliar with who may be offering lower than market rates. The first item to address is how long is my rate guaranteed to be locked in for, and what are my options if the rate does expire prior to settlement? Ask yourself the question what good is a below market rate if you never go to settlement. At BB&T our clients are locked in for 60 days in order to ensure the integrity of their lock. Those terms are disclosed upfront in the form of a signed rate lock disclosure.

The flipside represents the purchase market which finds lenders still very aggressively priced. Purchase loans are priced today at 4.875% on 30 year fixed rate products. That’s a solid .250% below what the refinance transaction costs. The difference is purchase money transactions are moving faster and have priority in underwriting, because unlike the refinance these loans are new loans for the lender and the refinance transactions are already homeowners.

 With so many variables affecting the market, it’s more important than ever to have an advise -based strategy when structuring your loan, I appreciate you trusting me with this role. 

Jerry Merrick

Deep Creek Lake’s #1 Lender

Vice President

BB&T Mortgage

Mortgage Loan Consultant

301-387-3219 Phone

301-387-5393 Fax

301-616-0037 Mobile

21287 Garrett Hwy suite 500

Oakland, MD  21550

www.bbt.com/mlo/jmerrick

By: Mike Kennedy mkennedy@railey.com 301-616-6106 March 11th, 2008 Category: Uncategorized

Since our blog is mostly about real estate happenings in and around the Deep Creek Lake area, we wanted to tell you about another blog that reports on all the other things happening and going on at the lake that aren’t necessarily real estate related. This new blog is called The Deep Creek Blog and is authored by Becky Sciullo. Becky’s family has owned lake property for many years and she has spent her whole life vacationing at Deep Creek.

She does a great job reporting all the local news, happenings, things-to-do, and events that are going on in the Deep Creek Lake area. For second home owners who only come up on weekends, her blog is great way to stay current with everything that is happening in Garrett County.

On a side note, her father paints and produces some incredible art work of the different scenes found in and around Deep Creek Lake and Garrett County. You can view his work here. How many of you remember Thayer’s Barn, the old Glendale Bridge, and Cabin Lodge? I can remember the old Glendale Bridge and the fact that it was “one way” only! You had to pull your car up to the entrance, look down to make sure no one else was coming the other way, and then you could go. Thayer’s Barn and Cabin Lodge were before my time, but I’m fairly certain Thayer’s Barn burnt down and was located where the Creamery is now along Route 219.